Basic epidemiologic model SIR for COVID-19: case of Peruvian Regions
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17268/sel.mat.2020.01.14Keywords:
SIR basic model, COVID-19, Epidemic, Peruvian regionsAbstract
In this work, a basic epidemiological model is used to determine the evolution of COVID-19 in each of the regions of Peru. For determining the parameters of the model which characterize a certain epidemic, the reports of infected, deceased and recovered people provided by the Regional Health Management of Peru are used. As a result, we obtained the configuration of the infected, susceptible and removed which are consistent with the existing bibliography, thus we also obtain a time interval in which there is a considerable number of infected, the maximum number of infected and the date on which it occurs.
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