REVIEW            

 

The role of artificial intelligence in sustainable agriculture in Costa Rica: An integrated evaluation using structural equation modeling, text mining, and scenario analysis

 

Tom Okot1; Edward Pérez2

 

1 Research/professor, Universidad Latinoamericana de Ciencia y Tecnología, San José, Costa Rica.

2 Graduate of the Business School, Universidad Latinoamericana de Ciencia y Tecnología. Costa Rica.

 

* Corresponding author: tokoto199@ulacit.ed.cr (T. Okot).

 

Received: 22 January 2025. Accepted: 23 June 2025. Published: 7 July 2025.

 

 

Abstract

This study examines the increasing role of artificial intelligence (AI) in Costa Rica’s agricultural sector, emphasizing its potential to enhance sustainability, resource management, and market competitiveness. Using a mixed-methods approach, the research integrates structural equation modeling (SEM), multivariate regression analysis, text mining, and scenario analysis to provide a comprehensive evaluation of AI adoption. AI-driven solutions optimize key agricultural processes, including climate pattern prediction, soil condition monitoring, crop disease detection, and pest management. Quantitative findings indicate a strong correlation between AI adoption and improved productivity, economic benefits, and environmental conservation, particularly through optimized fertilizer and pesticide use and enhanced water management. However, challenges such as high implementation costs, limited digital infrastructure, and farmer resistance remain significant barriers. Text mining analysis reveals widespread concerns over data privacy, technical complexity, and financial investment, highlighting the importance of targeted training programs. Scenario analysis further suggests that government support and technological advancements could significantly accelerate AI adoption over the next decade. The study underscores the need for strategic partnerships among government agencies, educational institutions, and technology providers to bridge the digital divide and encourage AI adoption. These findings not only inform Costa Rican agricultural policy and innovation strategies but also provide a replicable model for other emerging economies aiming to integrate AI sustainably into agricultural systems.

 

Keywords: Artificial Intelligence (AI); competitiveness; productivity; resource optimization; sustainable agriculture.

 

 

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17268/sci.agropecu.2025.036

 

Cite this article:

Okot, T., & Pérez, E. (2025). The role of artificial intelligence in sustainable agriculture in Costa Rica: An integrated evaluation using structural equation modeling, text mining, and scenario analysis. Scientia Agropecuaria, 16(3), 469-480.

 


 

1. Introduction

 

Over the years, sustainable agriculture has evolved into a global necessity, driven by the need to ad­dress the growing environmental impact of tradi­tional farming practices. This impact, which affects not only the environment but also society and econ­omies worldwide, demands urgent attention. In this context, artificial intelligence (AI) emerges as an in­novative tool with vast potential to revolutionize tra­ditional agricultural practices (Mana et al., 2024). AI can optimize existing resources and implement so­lutions that mitigate the negative effects of agricul­ture on the environment. Sustainable agriculture seeks a balance between society, the economy, and the environment, promoting the conservation of re­sources, reducing unnecessary use of materials, and minimizing environmental harm. As the demand for food increases, the agricultural sector must respond proportionately to external factors such as climate change and environmental degradation (Okot & Ojok, 2023).

The digital era has significantly impacted every as­pect of modern life, and agriculture is no exception. In this scenario, sustainable agriculture benefits from the application of information technologies, offering an alternative to traditional farming and expanding the possibilities for improvement in the agricultural sector. Digital transformation in agriculture is fueled by the need to address challenges such as popula­tion growth, environmental impact, resource scar­city, and the rising demand for food sustainably and efficiently (Calicioglu et al., 2019). According to ElMassah & Mohieldin (2020), digital transformation is driven by the pressing need to tackle these chal­lenges. In this context, AI offers innovative solutions through predictive and descriptive methods, as well as automated tools designed for specific agricultural tasks. AI can help farmers monitor and analyze var­iables involved in agricultural activities, leading to more efficient and sustainable practices.

Bertoglio et al. (2021) identified five key trends in the application of information technologies in sustaina­ble agriculture: climate-smart agriculture, site-specific management, remote sensing, the Internet of Things (IoT), and AI. These technologies aim to predict and describe the behavior of variables critical to agricultural activities, optimizing both productivity and sustainability. However, there remains a gap in the literature that comprehensively addresses the impact of the digital age on sustainable agriculture. As countries transition toward more sustainable practices, it becomes increasingly important to understand how digital advancements affect the development of sustainable farming.

While digitalization has expanded access to infor­mation and empowered individuals and society, there is still a significant digital divide in the agricul­tural sector (Jamil, 2021). Factors such as geographic location and limited internet access, combined with the lack of academic preparation among farmers, represent major challenges to the adoption of digital technologies. According to Autor (2019), the delay in the implementation of digital technologies and the lack of a competent workforce in agriculture are due to skill gaps compared to other sectors. Geographic, social, and economic conditions often influence these disparities.

 

The role of AI in sustainable agriculture

In a global context where agriculture represents a vital sector for the population, the need for sustain­able practices has grown more urgent. Rapid popu­lation growth, climate change, and resource scarcity pose significant challenges to traditional agricultural practices (Goel et al., 2021). Digital solutions, espe­cially AI, have emerged as innovative and necessary tools to address these challenges.

Sustainable agriculture is an integrated system de­signed to meet the current and future needs of the population. According to DeLonge et al. (2016), it is essential to produce enough food while ensuring long-term benefits, correct resource management, and improved quality of life for both farmers and the general population. This system operates holistically rather than as isolated components. The growing fo­cus on sustainability and digital transformation in agriculture, therefore, emphasizes the importance of AI as a catalyst for improving agricultural practices. Sustainable agriculture aims to maintain productivity over the long term while managing natural re­sources responsibly. Muhie (2022) emphasizes that sustainability in agriculture seeks to preserve productivity by optimizing resource use and reduc­ing unnecessary consumption to safeguard the en­vironment.

However, agriculture also contributes significantly to global challenges. According to Khatri et al. (2024), current food systems generate considerable threats to human health and the environment, causing ele­vated levels of pollution and waste. Alarmingly, one-third of global food production is wasted, exacerbat­ing food insecurity and overshadowing efforts to meet climate goals. The World Bank also notes that agriculture contributes 30% of global greenhouse gas emissions, highlighting the urgency of adopting sustainable practices to mitigate environmental degradation.

The digital age has transformed agriculture, shifting it from traditional methods to modern, technology-driven approaches that enhance efficiency and sus­tainability. Technologies like AI and IoT are reshap­ing how agricultural tasks are managed, optimizing resource usage and improving overall productivity. According to Wessel et al. (2021), digital transfor­mation involves the integration of information tech­nology across all aspects of an organization to add value. Examples of this transformation include de­veloping digital solutions like mobile applications and e-commerce platforms, migrating IT infrastruc­ture to the cloud, and implementing smart sensors to reduce operational costs. Veeramanju (2023), fur­ther explains that digital transformation in agricul­ture incorporates AI to enhance information optimi­zation, improve workflow automation, and support real-time decision-making. This transformation not only streamlines operations but also generates new business opportunities by facilitating more efficient resource management and improving food security.

AI has emerged as a key technology in sustainable agriculture, providing tools that can optimize re­source use, predict environmental factors, and auto­mate critical tasks. According to Galiana et al. (2024), AI is not merely an advanced technology but a driver of ethical and moral transformations in how societies address environmental challenges. Early develop­ments in AI in the 1950s laid the groundwork for its current applications, where machine learning algo­rithms and predictive models are instrumental in en­hancing agricultural efficiency. AI’s ability to learn from data and provide actionable insights makes it particularly valuable in agriculture. As Alassery et al. (2022) explain, AI’s specialized algorithms enable a successful alliance between energy design and cur­rent technology, providing tools for monitoring, de­tecting, and solving various issues related to agricul­ture. These algorithms help farmers make better de­cisions, such as optimizing water use, predicting crop yields, and monitoring soil health, thus reduc­ing resource waste and improving sustainability.

AI’s integration into agriculture extends beyond productivity improvements; it also plays a crucial role in environmental conservation. According to Lukacz (2024), Microsoft’s AI initiatives aim to bridge gaps in environmental monitoring and management, en­hancing conservation efforts and mitigating climate impact. AI applications can forecast water consump­tion, predict climate variability, and offer solutions that promote sustainable farming practices.

Shen et al. (2024) highlights the importance of multi-tasking AI models in improving agricultural sustain­ability. For example, AI can interpret diverse data types, such as weather patterns and satellite im­agery, to predict environmental phenomena. These capabilities help farmers make informed decisions, particularly in the face of unpredictable climate events like droughts or floods. AI also enhances the accuracy of environmental monitoring using sensors and satellite imagery. Sensors provide continuous data on temperature, wind, and other environmen­tal factors, while satellite images offer broader per­spectives on environmental changes. By combining both types of data, AI provides a complete and more precise picture of environmental processes, allowing for better decision-making in managing climate risks.

The ongoing Industry 4.0 is reshaping human inter­actions with the environment, particularly in agricul­ture. This revolution is characterized by the integra­tion of AI and machine learning, which processes vast amounts of information in real time to develop innovative solutions. According to Ashima et al. (2021), Industry 4.0 promotes greater efficiency in agriculture through automation and the use of smart devices, helping manufacturers meet consumer de­mands through mass customization while improving decision-making processes.

Pereira & Romero (2017) describe Industry 4.0 as a technological revolution that changes how organi­zations operate, design, produce, and supply goods and services. In agriculture, this revolution integrates advanced technologies like AI, IoT, and Big Data, creating systems that communicate and work to­gether to improve overall effectiveness. By adopting these technologies, agricultural enterprises can bet­ter meet the growing demand for food while ad­dressing the need for sustainable resource management.

 

Overcoming barriers to digital transformation in agriculture

While digital transformation offers many benefits, it also risks deepening existing inequalities. Helsper (2021) describes how digitalization has generated new opportunities but also widened the gap be­tween those who fully adopt innovative technologies and those who resist or are unaware of them. Chetty et al. (2018) explore the digital divide in the context of Industry 4.0, identifying three key dimensions: ac­cess, practical use, and enabling use. Access refers to the availability of devices and internet connectiv­ity, often limited by socioeconomic, gender, and ter­ritorial factors. In an era where technology is critical to agricultural success, the lack of access to digital tools becomes a significant barrier to participation in an increasingly digitalized economy.

The divide in practical use refers to differences in how people utilize digital devices and the internet, while the enabling use dimension focuses on mean­ingful engagement with technology, such as creat­ing and sharing data. Overcoming these gaps is cru­cial to ensuring that all farmers, regardless of their location or socioeconomic status, can benefit from AI and other digital technologies in sustainable agriculture.

The adoption of AI and other digital technologies in agriculture faces several barriers. One of the main challenges is the lack of infrastructure and access to technology in rural areas. According to Rayna & Striukova (2021), digital technologies are essential for promoting innovation, growth, and develop­ment. However, these technologies can also amplify existing social, economic, and territorial inequalities.

Addressing these challenges requires a concerted effort to develop infrastructure, provide access to education, and create policies that promote the eq­uitable distribution of digital tools. Without these ef­forts, the potential of AI to transform agriculture will be limited by the inability of many farmers to fully utilize these technologies. The integration of AI in sustainable agriculture presents a transformative opportunity to address global challenges such as cli­mate change, food security, and resource scarcity. However, this transformation is not without its ob­stacles. The digital divide, lack of infrastructure, and social inequalities must be addressed to ensure that all realize AI’s benefits. With strategic investments and policies, AI can revolutionize agriculture, making it more sustainable, efficient, and resilient in the face of future challenges.

In Costa Rica, agriculture is a key economic driver, contributing significantly to the nation's economy. The Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock’s 2023-2024 report highlights that the agricultural sector contributed over 5 billion USD, accounting for 67% of Costa Rica's gross agricultural production (Parada Gómez & Jiménez Ureña, 2023). AI offers an oppor­tunity to address the blind spots in Costa Rican agriculture, where specific execution times are re­quired to maintain the quality of agricultural prod­ucts. Innovation in this area should align with na­tional sustainability commitments, ensuring that productivity is maintained without compromising the environment.

The transition toward sustainable agriculture pre­sents an opportunity to address current environ­mental and socioeconomic challenges. Climate-smart practices enhance the adaptability and sus­tainability of the agricultural sector, allowing it to better respond to these challenges (Azadi et al., 2021). However, the pursuit of sustainability through information technologies involves significant eco­nomic investment, particularly in the implementation and maintenance phases. Addressing the challenges of adopting digital solutions highlights the im­portance of developing comprehensive strategies for sustainable agricultural practices.

The advent of Industry 4.0 offers not only increased efficiency and productivity in agriculture but also a positive impact on the preservation of natural re­sources (Zambon et al., 2019). Tools such as soil sen­sors, smart irrigation systems, and Big Data enable farmers to reduce the use of water, fertilizers, pesti­cides, and other chemicals. These technological tools provide real-time information, allowing farm­ers to analyze data and make informed decisions, which in turn helps mitigate the effects of adverse climatic factors.

This study is guided by the following research ques­tion: How can AI be used in sustainable agriculture? The primary objectives are to analyze how AI opti­mizes agricultural resources and minimizes environ­mental impact within the context of sustainable ag­riculture. To achieve this, the research employs a mixed-methods approach, integrating structural equation modeling (SEM), multivariate regression analysis, text mining, and scenario analysis to pro­vide a comprehensive evaluation of AI adoption. The study examines current trends and applications of AI-driven technologies in agriculture, including cli­mate-smart agriculture, site-specific management, remote sensing, IoT, and machine learning-based decision support systems. Additionally, it seeks to identify digital gaps in sustainable agriculture and propose strategies to overcome the barriers that hinder AI adoption. A specific focus is placed on Costa Rica, assessing how AI and other digital tech­nologies contribute to improving sustainability, productivity, and resilience in the country’s agricul­tural sector. By analyzing economic, environmental, and behavioral factors influencing AI adoption, the study aims to provide actionable insights for policy­makers, researchers, and industry stakeholders to drive the successful integration of AI in sustainable farming practices.

 

2. Methodology

This research employs a mixed-methods approach, integrating qualitative and quantitative-descriptive techniques to analyze AI adoption in sustainable ag­riculture. The qualitative portion includes in-depth interviews with technology experts who have worked with AI in agriculture, exploring their experiences, perspectives, and perceived chal­lenges. The quantitative portion consists of struc­tured survey (Appendix) to gather data on technological trends and existing gaps, facilitating a comprehensive un­derstanding of AI's role in enhancing agricultural sustainability. The study aims to detect patterns and develop strategies that promote AI integration, en­suring the resilience and efficiency of agricultural practices worldwide.

A qualitative approach, complemented by advanced statistical analysis and data visualization, is ideal for exploring complex phenomena, particularly due to the novelty of this research topic. Qualitative meth­ods allow for an in-depth understanding of partici­pants' experiences, motivations, and perceptions, which are often overlooked in purely quantitative re­search (Kim & Bradway, 2017). Descriptive statistics provide a structured way to summarize and present data, identifying patterns and trends (George & Mallery, 2018). To enhance analytical depth, this study employs multivariate regression analysis, structural equation modelling (SEM), text mining, and scenario analysis, which allow for a more nu­anced exploration of AI adoption in agriculture. These advanced techniques facilitate robust find­ings, making the results more generalizable while re­taining contextual relevance.

Primary data for this research is collected through two main sources. The first involves documentary analysis, including peer-reviewed journal articles, ac­ademic books, news reports, and relevant websites focused on AI applications in sustainable agriculture. The second source is a survey administered to IT professionals involved with AI technologies, captur­ing their perspectives on various AI methodologies and their potential applications in agriculture. The survey incorporates text mining techniques, allowing for topic modelling of farmers' concerns regarding AI, which provides deeper insights into sentiment and thematic trends.

The study population consists of IT professionals en­gaged in AI-related agricultural projects. These indi­viduals are selected based on their expertise and ex­perience, ensuring the reliability and relevance of their insights. According to the College of Profes­sionals for the Field of Informatics, 11,711 registered IT professionals are currently active. To determine the sample size, factors such as confidence level and margin of error are considered. The sample size is calculated using the following equation:

 

Sample size = C2 Z2 × P × (1−P)

                   C2

Where Z represents the confidence level, P = 0.5, and C represents the margin of error. For this study, a 95% confidence level and a 5% margin of error are applied, resulting in a required sample size of 373 surveys. However, 412 responses were received, of which 383 were deemed valid based on relevance filters.

To ensure comprehensive data analysis, both quali­tative and quantitative data processing methods are employed. Qualitative analysis is conducted through survey responses and in-depth interviews, utilizing sentiment analysis and topic modelling to classify common themes and concerns (Taguchi, 2018). Quantitative analysis includes multivariate regres­sion, structural equation modelling (SEM), and sce­nario analysis to explore key relationships between AI adoption, economic benefits, and implementa­tion barriers.

To facilitate data interpretation, Power BI and Py­thon-based analytical tools are utilized for advanced data visualization. This study includes heatmaps (to illustrate AI technology adoption rates), network di­agrams (to map adoption barriers and influencing factors), radar charts (to visualize AI’s economic and environmental benefits), and scenario-based projec­tions (to estimate future AI adoption growth under different policy conditions). These visual representa­tions enhance the analytical rigor of the study, mak­ing complex relationships more accessible and actionable.

This methodological framework provides a holistic understanding of AI's potential in sustainable agri­culture. By integrating qualitative insights with quan­titative data and advanced analytics, the study delivers more robust and actionable findings. This comprehensive approach supports informed policy recommendations and strategic AI implementations to drive agricultural sustainability. As illustrated in Figure 1, the research followed a sequential mixed-methods approach integrating structured surveys, statistical modeling, text mining, and scenario-based analysis to evaluate the role of AI in sustainable agriculture.

Figure 1 summarizes the integrated methodological approach used in the study. It begins with a structured survey administered to 412 agricultural professionals across Costa Rica, followed by quantitative analysis using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM), regression analysis, and descriptive statistics. Parallel qualitative analysis was conducted through text mining of open-ended responses. Scenario simulations were developed using Power BI to visualize AI adoption pathways. Analytical tools included Python (v3.11), AMOS (v29), and Power BI (April 2024 version).

 

A diagram of a research technique

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Figure 1. Research Methodology Framework.

 

3. Results and discussion

The study explores the current landscape of AI in sustainable agriculture based on 384 responses from professionals in the field. The data highlights the nascent stage of AI adoption in agriculture, with 61% of participants having less than one year of experience using technology in farming, 29% having one to three years of experience, and only 1% having over five years. This underscores the need for more skilled professionals in AI-driven agricultural solutions.

 

Adoption of AI technologies in agriculture

As shown in Figure 2, perception scores across AI tools varied significantly by company size and geo­graphic region, with smaller organizations in the Central region expressing the highest levels of famil­iarity and optimism. Thus, illustrating the dominance of Machine Learning (75%), followed by Deep Learn­ing (64%), Natural Language Processing (41%), and Expert Systems (13%). The widespread use of Ma­chine Learning aligns with its capability to analyze large datasets and improve decision-making. The preference for open-source AI platforms is also no­table, with PyTorch (51%) and TensorFlow (46%) be­ing the most commonly used tools (Dop, 2020). The data analysis reveals a strong tendency among ex­perts toward the use of Machine Learning, which is predictable as it helps farmers extract data gener­ated through the IoT. According to Hansen (2002), data interpretation can provide predictions about weather patterns, offering essential information for farmers to make informed decisions (Okot et al., 2023).


A chart of different colors

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Figure 2. Heatmap of AI Tool Perception by Company Size and Region.

 

 


This heatmap illustrates mean perception scores (1.0 = most favorable) for four AI-related dimensions—prediction, automation, monitoring, and general fa­miliarity—across different organization types in Costa Rica. The Micro/Small enterprises in the Cen­tral region show the highest receptiveness to AI tools, while medium and large organizations in outer regions report more conservative evaluations. This segmentation adds explanatory power to barriers and adoption trends reported in the survey.

The results of the structural equation modeling anal­ysis highlight the intricate relationship between AI adoption in agriculture and various influencing fac­tors, aligning with previous studies on technological adoption in farming. Smith & Lee (2021) emphasize that economic benefits play a pivotal role in acceler­ating AI adoption, as farmers seek to optimize productivity and reduce operational costs. As shown in Figure 3, respondents identified cost reduction (0.82) and yield forecasting (0.76) as the most valued benefits of AI, while key barriers included data qual­ity issues (0.72) and limited climate adaptation capa­bility (0.60). This aligns with Azadi et al. (2021) finding that skepticism toward AI, coupled with financial constraints, hinders widespread implementation. This result further illustrates how AI-driven solutions interconnect with various agricultural processes, supporting previous research by Veeramanju (2023) on the need for educational initiatives to enhance AI acceptance. These findings suggest that addressing behavioral and financial barriers in tandem is essen­tial for fostering a more AI-integrated agricultural sector.


 

 

Figure 3. Perceived benefits and barriers to AI adoption in agriculture.


This bar chart presents a side-by-side comparison of the top five benefits and barriers to AI implementa­tion in Costa Rican agriculture as reported by pro­fessionals. While most stakeholders recognize AI’s potential in forecasting and cost efficiency, concerns over data infrastructure and climate resilience re­main pronounced. These results highlight the dual challenge of enabling technical integration while addressing foundational readiness.

 

Applications of AI in agriculture

Figure 4 shows a progressive adoption of AI tools by organization size, with large enterprises leading in the use of prediction (75%) and automation tools (65%). AI’s predictive capabilities optimize resource use and minimize environmental impact, particularly in Costa Rica’s diverse agricultural landscape. Machine Learning algorithms help analyze climate data, recommend planting schedules, and enhance pest control strategies (Hansen, 2002). In particular, the use of AI for climate predictions in agriculture is noteworthy. Costa Rica’s tropical climate presents both opportunities and challenges for farming. Extreme weather patterns, which are becoming more frequent due to climate change, pose risks to crops and farming infrastructure. Farmers can use AI to make informed decisions about planting times, irrigation schedules, and pest control, minimizing the impact of adverse weather and maximizing yield. This stacked bar chart illustrates the adoption levels of four categories of AI tools—prediction, automa­tion, monitoring, and natural language processing (NLP)—across organization types. Micro and small enterprises demonstrate limited integration, espe­cially for NLP, while medium and large firms show broader adoption across all categories. The pattern reflects differences in technical capacity and invest­ment readiness among Costa Rican agricultural stakeholders.

The findings from the multivariate regression analy­sis reinforce existing literature on the effectiveness of AI applications in agriculture, particularly in enhanc­ing productivity and sustainability. According to Wessel et al. (2021), AI-driven yield prediction models enable farmers to make data-driven decisions, lead­ing to improved resource allocation and crop man­agement. The significant correlation between AI-based yield prediction and productivity (R² = 0.68, p < 0.05) aligns with prior studies highlighting the role of machine learning algorithms in forecasting har­vest outcomes and optimizing planting schedules (Khatri et al., 2024). Similarly, the strong correlation between AI-driven soil management and sustaina­bility improvements (R² = 0.74, p < 0.01) echoes findings by Ahmad et al. (2024), who emphasize that AI-powered precision agriculture techniques con­tribute to long-term environmental conservation. The integration of satellite imagery, drones, and ma­chine learning for crop health monitoring further supports research by Mana et al. (2024), which un­derscores AI’s ability to detect early signs of pest infestations and plant diseases. In Costa Rica, AI’s application in optimizing fertilizer use for pineapple farming demonstrates its potential to balance productivity with sustainability, reducing excess fer­tilizer application while maximizing yield. These findings highlight the transformative impact of AI in modernizing agricultural practices and mitigating environmental degradation.


 

 

Figure 4. AI tool usage distribution across organization types.


Challenges to AI implementation in agriculture

The persistence of resistance to the adoption of AI among farmers aligns with previous research indi­cating that behavioral and financial barriers signifi­cantly hinder technological progress in agriculture. As visualized in Figure 5, resistance to change (70%) and lack of skilled personnel (56%) emerged as the most prominent barriers to AI integration, followed by poor data quality (42%) and infrastructure gaps (39%). This finding is consistent with Hasteer et al. (2024), who emphasize that many farmers perceive AI as complex and inaccessible, particularly in re­gions with limited technological infrastructure. Addi­tionally, high implementation costs further exacer­bate adoption difficulties, as small- and medium-scale farmers struggle to afford AI-driven solutions without substantial financial support. The chart high­lights the cascading effect of financial constraints, with a lack of quality data (42%) compounding the problem by limiting AI’s effectiveness in predictive modeling and decision-making. These insights rein­force the need for targeted interventions, such as fi­nancial incentives, technical training, and collabora­tive initiatives between agricultural stakeholders and AI developers, to address adoption barriers and fa­cilitate a smoother transition to AI-integrated farming practices.

 

 

 

Figure 5. Barriers to AI Adoption.

 

 

This donut chart illustrates the primary barriers to AI adoption identified by agricultural professionals in Costa Rica. The percentage labels reflect the fre­quency of each barrier mentioned in the survey re­sponses. The visual emphasizes that both technical and human readiness factors remain major challenges, with resistance to change surpassing all other categories. These results underscore the need for capacity-building and change management strategies.

The results of sentiment analysis and topic modelling (Figure 6) underscore the deep-seated skepti­cism among farmers regarding AI adoption, with 58% of responses expressing concerns over data privacy and job displacement. This aligns with broader discussions in agricultural digitalization, where fear of automation-driven job losses and un­certainties about AI reliability are prevalent obstacles Zambon (2019). The topic modeling analysis further revealed three dominant concerns: lack of technical skills, distrust in AI accuracy, and financial investment challenges. These findings suggest that beyond fi­nancial constraints, psychological and knowledge-based barriers significantly influence adoption rates. Addressing these concerns requires targeted educa­tional programs that not only enhance technical competencies but also foster soft skills like adapta­bility and problem-solving. Such initiatives can bridge the trust gap between farmers and AI devel­opers, increasing confidence in AI-driven solutions. Furthermore, transparent AI governance policies particularly regarding data security could help alle­viate privacy concerns, ensuring that AI technologies are perceived as tools for empowerment rather than threats to traditional agricultural practices.

 

A close-up of words

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Figure 6. Topic modeling of farmer concerns regarding AI.

 

Economic and environmental benefits of AI

The economic and environmental benefits of AI in agriculture, as depicted in Figure 7, highlight its transformative potential in optimizing resource allo­cation and improving sustainability. Cost reduction emerges as the most significant advantage (34%), followed by enhanced decision-making (18%) and increased crop yields (17%). These findings align with previous studies that emphasize AI’s role in precision agriculture, where machine learning algorithms an­alyze vast datasets to optimize farming practices (Ashima et al., 2021). Notably, AI-driven water man­agement systems have demonstrated their effec­tiveness in monitoring soil moisture levels and adjusting irrigation schedules in real time, ensuring optimal water use efficiency. Similarly, AI assists in reducing pesticide and fertilizer overuse by recom­mending precise application rates, mitigating envi­ronmental impact while improving economic viabil­ity for farmers. By integrating AI into agricultural workflows, stakeholders can achieve a balance be­tween productivity and sustainability, making AI a crucial tool for long-term agricultural resilience. However, for AI to reach its full potential, adoption challenges such as technological accessibility and training gaps must be addressed through targeted policy interventions and collaborative industry efforts.

 

A diagram of a cost reduction

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Figure 7. Current vs. proposed models of AI benefit emphasis.

 

The scenario analysis presented in Figure 8 under­scores the pivotal role of policy support and techno­logical advancements in accelerating AI adoption in agriculture. Projections indicate that with strong government-backed initiatives such as subsidies for AI implementation, investment in digital infrastruc­ture, and targeted training programs, AI adoption rates could potentially quadruple over the next dec­ade (Silva et al., 2025).

 

 

Figure 8. Scenario analysis of AI adoption growth.

 

These findings are consistent with research highlighting the impact of public poli­cies in fostering technological innovation and reduc­ing barriers to adoption (DeLonge et al., 2016). Ad­ditionally, advancements in AI accessibility, including user-friendly interfaces and cost-effective solutions, are expected to further drive adoption, particularly among small and medium-sized farms. However, without proactive policy intervention, the adoption trajectory may remain stagnant due to persistent fi­nancial constraints and resistance to change. Thus, a multi-stakeholder approach involving policymakers, industry leaders, and agricultural communities is es­sential to fully harness AI’s potential in transforming agricultural productivity and sustainability.

 

Future prospects and policy recommendations

The findings in Figure 9 emphasize the critical role of policy interventions in fostering AI adoption in ag­riculture. A significant proportion of participants support initiatives aimed at making AI technologies more accessible, with 35% advocating for estab­lished regulatory framework. Additionally, 26% of respondents stress the importance of research and development, underscoring the need for interdisci­plinary efforts to bridge knowledge gaps and pro­mote AI literacy. These insights align with previous studies highlighting the role of institutional support in mitigating technological resistance (Goel et al., 2021).

 

 

Figure 9. Policy recommendations for AI adoption in agriculture.

 

To effectively address adoption challenges, a strate­gic, multi-stakeholder approach is necessary. Estab­lishing partnerships between government agencies, educational institutions, and technology providers can facilitate AI integration in agriculture. For in­stance, collaborations between the Ministry of Agri­culture and Livestock (MAG), the National Institute of Learning (INA), and private tech companies could lead to AI-enabled tools being made available to farmers at subsidized rates, along with targeted training programs. Additionally, regulatory frame­works should be designed to ensure ethical AI im­plementation while promoting sustainable agricul­tural practices, Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO, 2025). By fostering these collaborative efforts and policy-driven incentives, AI adoption in Costa Rican agriculture can be accelerated, ultimately en­hancing productivity, sustainability, and economic resilience.

This bar chart presents the distribution of stake­holder support for various policy measures to facili­tate AI integration in Costa Rican agriculture. Regu­latory frameworks emerged as the top priority, un­derscoring the need for structured guidance. Sub­stantial support was also observed for public invest­ment in research, training, and institutional partnerships.

The findings highlight the transformative role of AI in Costa Rican agriculture, offering significant eco­nomic and environmental benefits. However, suc­cessful AI implementation requires overcoming adoption barriers and ensuring sustained policy sup­port. Addressing key challenges such as resistance to change, high costs, and limited technical expertise will be essential for fostering a more AI-driven agri­cultural sector (Singh & Dwivedi, 2025). These results align with previous research emphasizing the neces­sity of targeted training programs and financial in­centives to accelerate AI adoption (ElMassah & Mohieldin, 2020).

The study’s use of advanced analytical methods, in­cluding structural equation modeling, multivariate regression, text mining, and scenario analysis, has provided a comprehensive understanding of the factors influencing AI adoption. These methodolo­gies enable a data-driven approach to policy devel­opment, ensuring that AI integration is both strate­gic and sustainable. By leveraging AI-driven solu­tions and fostering collaboration between stake­holders, Costa Rica can position itself as a leader in sustainable agricultural innovation. Future efforts should focus on expanding AI accessibility, strength­ening farmer engagement, and developing support­ive regulatory frameworks to maximize AI’s long-term benefits in the sector.

 

4. Conclusions

The findings of this study reaffirm that AI serves as a transformative force in Costa Rica’s agricultural sec­tor. Advanced AI technologies, particularly Machine Learning, play a crucial role in enhancing productiv­ity, optimizing resource utilization, and mitigating environmental impact. The study’s multivariate re­gression analysis highlights strong correlations be­tween AI-driven yield prediction, soil management, and water conservation, reinforcing AI’s potential to improve decision-making and sustainability in agricultural practices.

The structural equation modeling (SEM) analysis reveals that economic benefits significantly drive AI adoption, with financial incentives serving as a key motivator. In particular, AI applications in Costa Rica pineapple farming illustrate how precision agricul-ture techniques can reduce fertilizer overuse while maintaining high yields, supporting previous research on AI’s economic and environmental ad­vantages. However, the study also underscores the need for targeted policy interventions to enhance accessibility and ensure that small- and medium-scale farmers can integrate AI into their operations.

Despite its advantages, AI adoption in agriculture faces considerable challenges. The topic modeling and sentiment analysis highlight farmers' skepticism, particularly concerns regarding data privacy, job dis­placement, and the complexity of AI systems. Addi­tionally, financial constraints and limited access to high-quality data remain significant barriers. The network analysis of adoption barriers demonstrates how resistance to change and technological infra­structure gaps compound these issues, particularly in rural areas with limited internet connectivity.

The study emphasizes that overcoming these chal­lenges requires more than just technical training. Farmers must also develop soft skills such as adapt­ability, problem-solving, and digital literacy to navi­gate the transition to AI-driven agricultural methods. Without a comprehensive educational approach, AI adoption may remain fragmented, limiting its long-term impact.

The scenario analysis suggests that a multi-stake­holder approach is essential to accelerating AI adop­tion. Collaboration between government agencies, educational institutions, and private technology companies can enhance rural connectivity, provide targeted training, and facilitate financial support for AI implementation. Policy driven initiatives such as AI subsidies, regulatory frameworks for data security, and investments in digital infrastructure will be cru­cial in fostering an AI-integrated agricultural sector.

To fully harness AI’s potential in sustainable agricul­ture, Costa Rica must prioritize strategic interven­tions that address both technological and behavioral barriers. Key recommendations include:

By addressing these challenges, Costa Rica can po­sition itself as a leader in AI-driven sustainable agri­culture, leveraging digital innovation to enhance productivity, economic resilience, and environmen­tal conservation.

 

Conflict of interest

The author declares no conflict of interest.

 

Authors contribution

T. Okot & E. Pérez: Writing –review & editing, Data curation.

 

ORCID

 

T. Okot https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4402-2127

E. Pérez https://orcid.org/0009-0005-8794-6900

 

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Appendix

 

Survey Instrument: Perceptions of AI in Sustainable Agriculture in Costa Rica

 

Section 1: Demographic and Organizational Information

  1. What is your current professional role?

  Agricultural Engineer  Agronomist  Extension Officer  Farm Manager  Researcher  Other (specify)

  1. What type of organization do you work for?

Government  Private company  Cooperative  NGO  Academic Institution  Other (specify)

  1. What is the size of the organization?

Micro (1–10 employees)  Small (11–50)  Medium (51–250)  Large (251+)

  1. In which region of Costa Rica is your organization primarily located?

Central  Pacific  Caribbean  Northern  Other (specify)

  1. Do you or your organization currently use any form of artificial intelligence (AI) tools in agricultural operations?

Yes  No  Not Sure

 

Section 2: Perceptions of AI in Agriculture

  1. On a scale of 1 (Strongly Disagree) to 5 (Strongly Agree), please rate the following statements:

Statement

1

2

3

4

5

a) AI can help reduce costs in agricultural production.

 

 

 

 

 

b) AI improves decision-making through data analytics.

 

 

 

 

 

c) The adoption of AI enhances environmental sustainability.

 

 

 

 

 

d) Farmers are open to adopting AI-based technologies.

 

 

 

 

 

e) There is sufficient technical support to implement AI in the agricultural sector.

 

 

 

 

 

f) The government provides adequate incentives or guidance for AI adoption in agriculture.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Section 3: Barriers to AI Adoption

  1. What are the most significant barriers to AI adoption in your context? (Select all that apply)
    High implementation costs

Lack of technical knowledge

Resistance to change among workers/farmers

Poor data quality or access

Lack of internet connectivity

Legal or ethical concerns

Unclear return on investment

Other (specify) ______________________

 

Section 4: Benefits Perceived from AI Use

  1. What benefits have you observed or expect from using AI in agriculture? (Select all that apply)

Cost savings

Reduced pesticide or fertilizer usage

Increased yields

Predictive analytics for climate or pest control

Better resource management

Labor savings

Other (specify) ______________________

 

Section 5: Open-Ended Questions for Text Mining and Thematic Analysis

  1. In your opinion, what is the biggest opportunity AI presents for sustainable agriculture in Costa Rica?
  2. What do you believe are the most critical risks or ethical challenges associated with AI in agriculture?